While I wait around for the Super Bowl odds to move to LA +3 at one of my books I figured there was no better way to scratch that gambling itch than some midweek college hoops action. While I’ve had a good year thus far overall, I’ve had to weather a few storms lately. Past picks can be seen at myaction.app/matlockdc. Last night I had the Ark/UGA Over which I placed after overanalyzing the matchup all day. A quick glance at your scores app would tell you that the over never had a chance and probably wouldn’t have hit even if the game had gone into overtime which seemed possible coming down the stretch. The worst of it all though is that I’ve noticed that many of my bad calls as of late are games that I overthink and overanalyze. Therefore, I’m just gonna wing it for a couple of days and rely a little more on my gut and a little less on the stats. So without further adieu:
Missouri +15 — 1u
This Auburn team just hasn’t looked up to snuff the past 3 games without Austin Wiley. The Auburn Tigers are the better team here and playing at home but I can’t trust them to play a solid game right now until they prove that they can win games without Wiley. The Missouri Tigers, on the other hand, are a little underrated right now in my opinion and should be anxious for a chance to get back on the court again after their epic collapse against LSU on Saturday. In both that game against LSU and their previous game on the road against a Jekyll and Hyde Arkansas squad, Missouri found itself in tight ball games in the final minutes and just couldn’t seem to come up with big plays when needed to put teams away. But, they have proven that they can compete with teams in the top half of the SEC and with a number this high, Missouri plus the points is just that much more appealing.
Virginia Tech -7.5 — 1u
The Hokies have become a hot topic the past several weeks with many having the opinion that Tech held some of the best value in the futures markets. Despite the positive press, the Hokies have faltered in marquee matchups, but have gone about their business as expected outside of their of games against bluebloods. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes are battling some health issues with starter Zach Johnson trying to rebound from an ankle injury and fellow starter Ebuka Izundu suffering from an illness. Izundu is currently listed as probable, but Johnson is still listed as questionable. In the spirit of trying to not stray too far into the statistical weeds, I’m simply going with a gut feeling here since the matchup doesn’t present any glaring matchup problems for either team.
Marquette +3.5 — 1u
Florida -5.5 — 1u
Bonus: “Stop the Skid Parlay” with the above 4 picks 0.5u to win 6u
